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Converting the betting odds into implied probabilities of winning may prove a more intuitive tool to use than viewing betting odds in isolation, especially for the novice.
To convert odds into implied probabilities, simply divide 1 by the decimal odds.
For example, a greyhound with a market price of $3 implies that the market believes its probability of winning is roughly 33% (1/$3.00 = 0.33). We say roughly because the sum of all probabilities must equate to 100%. However, because bookmakers and the TAB clip the odds, the market odds available are actually less than what would be available without an intermediary, thus elevating the sum of the field’s probabilities above 100%. For example, if you and a friend bet on a coin toss, and the odds are $2 for heads and $2 for tails, then the winner will win $10 on a $10 bet. If the TAB were acting as intermediary, then the odds would likely be $1.95 for heads and $1.95 for tails. The winner would record a net win of $9.50 and the TAB would keep 50c (the two players threw $10 x 2 into the win pool, and the eventual winner received $10 x $1.95 = $19.50, a net win of $9.50). The $1.95 odds imply the probability of winning the coin toss is 51.28% which of course we know is not true (it is 50% on any coin toss).
To overcome this, you can build yourself a “Wheel of Fortune” (WOoF) in excel like the one below. You’ll note that the probabilities of each greyhound adds up to a figure greater than 100%. However, the wheel of fortune adjusts the percentages of each runner to accurately illustrate the probability of winning according to the market. Using the wheel, you can try and imagine which number you might back based on risk and return. Or alternatively, the next time you see a greyhound runner with odds of $10, the wheel can help you visualise your chances of winning (again, if the market is correct!).
Box Number Odds Offered to win Odds translated into Probability of Winning
1 $10.00 10%
2 $5.00 20%
3 $2.10 48%
4 $8.00 13%
5 $12.00 8%
6 $20.00 5%
7 $26.00 4%
8 $16.00 6%
Below you could publicize your individually registered greyhounds. Be sure to You should not publicize unnamed saplings here.
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An Exacta bet is 1 on which you might be tasked with picking out which greyhounds you think will finish first and second in any race. All punters stakes on such bets are fed into a pool, and once The end result is understood all profitable tickets put on the 1st and 2nd position finisher in the right purchase then get a share from the pool, much less the usual commissions and fees costs through the organisers of Those people betting swimming pools.
You do having said that have two alternative when positioning a get guess on any greyhound you think that will earn a race, the main is always to choose the odds becoming made available to you with the betting website you may have selected to wager at, and if your greyhound wins you wager might be steeled at the odds you took.
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